Empirical research on the relationship between violence and social development in Colombia

Autores/as

  • Alexander Cotte Poveda

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos31.2-2

Palabras clave:

Economic development, categories of violence, deterrence variables, Panel Data, Colombia.

Resumen

Violence is a significant development constraint that generates economic problems, limits public and private investments, and damages the country’s infrastructure. This paper offers an explanation of violence through an empirical analysis of Colombian departments that takes into account categories of violence and variables of economic development and the deterrence of violence. We use different datasets to measure violence and economic development, and we employ panel fixed-effects regressions and a dynamic panel model for a sample of 32 Colombian departments between 1993 and 2007. We find that the aggregate-level production per capita, education, deterrence variables and employment rate show a negative effect on violence, whereas the GINI coefficient and lagged rate show a positive effect on violence. Moreover, the objective conditions and their interrelationships have been important in the trends of violence in Colombian departments.

JEL Classification: O1, 040, I30, C33.

Descargas

Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.

Métricas

Cargando métricas ...

Citas

Angrist, J. and Kugler A. (2007). Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia. http://econ-www.mit.edu/files/35 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.987501

Arellano, M. and Bover, O. (1995). “Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models”. Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29–51. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D

Beccaria, C. (1764). On crimes and punishments. HPC Classics Series. Hackett Publishing, 1986.

Baum, C. (2001). “Residual diagnostics for cross-section time series regression models.” The Stata Journal, 1, 101–104. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0100100108

Becker, G. (1968). “Crime and punishment: an economic approach.” Journal of Political Economy, 76, 169– 217. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/259394

Benson, M. and Fox, G. (2002). Economic Distress, Community Context and Intimate Violence: An Application and Extension of Social Disorganization Theory. Final Report No. 193434. The National Institute of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, U. S. Department of Justice. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1037/e513092006-001

Besley, T. and Persson, T. (2009). “The Logic of Political Violence.” Paper No. 091222. http://people.su.se/~tpers/PoliticalVilolence_paper091222.pdf

Bentham, J. (1789). An Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation. Latest edition: Adamant Media Corporation, 2005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/oseo/instance.00077240

Blundell, R. and Bond, S. 1998. “Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models.” Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115–143. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8

Broekman, D. (2000). “A state failure-violence-resource capture triangle: Comparing the Angolan and Colombian experiences.” The UNISA centre for Latin American studies, 16, 4-34.

Buvinic, M., Morrison, A. and Shifter, M. (1999). “Violence in LatinAmerica and the Caribbean: A Framework for Action.” Technical Study, Inter-American Development Bank, Washington DC.

Camacho, A. and Lopez, A. (2000). “Perspectives on Narcotics Trafficking in Colombia. III. The Political Economy of the Drug Trade.” International Journal of Politics, Culture and Society, 14, 151-182.

Camatari, D. (2006). “The new wars in Africa: armed conflicts and natural resources.” Documents and academic researches No. 22.

Castillo, M. and Salazar, B. (2003). “Rationality, preferences and irregular war Colombian.” Economic Journal, 1, 16-33.

Chernick, M. and Bailey, J. (2005). Democracy and violence, early warning and conflict prevention. Implications for international assistance. Georgetown University and United Nations Development Programme.

Cotte, A. (2007). “Growth, Inequality and Poverty: An Analysis of the Violence in Colombia.” Bogotá, Universidad de La Salle (Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1012487)

Driscoll, J. and Kraay, A. (1998). “Consistent covariance matrix estimation with spatially dependent panel data.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 549-560. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/003465398557825

Drukker, D. (2003). “Testing for serial correlation in linear panel-data models.” The Stata Journal, 3, 168–177. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0300300206

Dune, J. (2011). “Military Spending, Growth, Development and Conflict.” University of the West of England, Department of Economics, Discussion Papers, No. 1105.

Durkheim, E. (1982). The rules of sociological method. New York: Free Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-16939-9

Echandía, C. (2003). “The Colombian intern conflict: last changes and implications in the process of violence.” Paper presented at the seminar Obstacles to Robust Settlements of Civil Conflicts. Bogota: Santafe Institute and the Javeriana University May 29 to 31.

Fajnzylber, P., Lederman, D. and Loayza, N. (2000). ”Crime and Victimization: An economic perspective.” Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, 1, 219-248. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/eco.2000.0004

Fajnzylber, P., Lederman, D. and Loayza, N. (2002). ”What causes violent crime?” European Economic Review, 46, 1323-1357. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014-2921(01)00096-4

Fielding, N., Clarke, A. and Witt, R. (2000). The economic dimensions of crime. Palgrave Macmillan. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-62853-7

Fisman, R. and Miguel, E. (2008). Economic Gangsters: Corruption, Violence, and the Poverty of Nations. Princeton University Press.

Gaviria A., Vélez C., (2001). “Who bears the burden of crime and violence in Colombia?” FEDESARROLLO and World Bank. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.256746

Geneva Declaration, (2008). The Global Burden of Armed Violence report. Geneva Declaration Secretariat. http://www.genevadeclaration.org/fileadmin/docs/Global-Burden-of-Armed-Violence-full-report.pdf

Giugale, M., Lafourcade, O. and Luff, C. (2003). Colombia: The Economic Foundation of Peace. World Bank, Washington DC.

Gorbaneff, Y. and Jacome, F. (2000). “The Armed Conflict in Colombia: An Application of The Game Theory.” Working Paper SSRN: http://ssrn.com/ abstract= 240742ordoi:10.2139/ ssrn. 240742 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.240742

Green, W. (2011). Econometric Analysis. Pearson Education; Global ed. of 7th revised ed.

Hanchane, S. and Mostafa, T. (2010). “Endogeneity Problems in Multilevel Estimation of Education Production Functions: an Analysis Using PISA Data.” The Centre for Learning and Life Chances in Knowledge Economies and Societies. http://www.llakes.org

Hoechle, D. (2007). “Robust standard errors for panel regressions with cross–sectional dependence.” The Stata Journal, 7, 281-312. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0700700301

Hofmann, K.(2009). “The Impact of Organized Crime on Democratic Governance –Focus on Latin America and the Caribbean.” Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, FES Briefing Paper 13, 2-9.

Holmes, J., Gutiérrez, S. and Curtin K. (2002). Drugs, Violence and Development in Colombia: A Department Level Analysis. University of Texas at Dallas. Latin American Politics and Society.

Koonings, K. and Kruijt, D. (2004). Armed actors, organised violence and state failure in Latin America. Zed Books. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5040/9781350218529

Levinson, D. (2002). Encyclopedia of crime and punishment. Vol. 3 Crime and Violence in Latin America. Sage Publications. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4135/9781412950664

Li, Q. (2006). “Chapter 11 Political Violence and Foreign Direct Investment.” Book series: Research in Global Strategy Management, 12, 225-249. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1064-4857(06)12011-2

Marx, K. (1853). “New York Daily Tribune article on the death penalty.” www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1853/02/18.htm

McCall, P. and Nieuwbeerta, P. (2007). “Structural Covariates of Homicide Rates. A European City Cross-National Comparative Analysis.” Homicide Studies 11, 167-188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/1088767907304072

Messner, S., Raffalovich, L. and Shrock, P. (2002). “Reassessing the Cross-National Relationship between Income Inequality and Homicide Rates: Implications of Data Quality Control in the Measurement of Income Distribution.” Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 18, 377-395. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021169610837

Moser, C. (2000). Violence in Colombia: Building sustainable peace and social capital. Colombia. Essays on Conflict, Peace, and Development. The World Bank.

Mousumi, D. and Zakir, H. (2009). “Determinants of crime rates: Crime Deterrence and Growth inpost-liberalized India.” MPRA Paper No. 14478. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/14478/

Nafziger, E., Stewart, F. and Väyrynen, R. (2000). War, Hunger, and Displacement: The Origins of Humanitarian Emergencies; Vol. 1 & 2. Queen Elizabeth House Series in Development Economics and UNU/WIDER Studies in Development Economics. Oxford: Oxford University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198297406.003.0001

Nafziger, E. and Auvinen, J. (2002). “Economic Development, Inequality, War, and State Violence.” World Development, 30, 153–163. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(01)00108-5

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), (2009). “Conflict and Fragility Armed Violence Reduction: Enabling Development.” www.oecd.org

Palau, M. and Sánchez, F. (2006). “Conflict, decentralisation and local governance in Colombia, 1974-2004.” Document Cede-University of Los Andes. Mayo.

Pesaran, H. and Smith, R. (1995). "Estimating long-run relationships from dynamic heterogeneous panels." Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, 68(1), 79-113. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01644-F

Rubio, M. (2001). “Violence and conflict in the nineties.” Coyuntura Social, 22, May.

Sambanis, N. (2004). Poverty and the Organization of Political Violence: A Review and Some Conjectures. Yale University. Political Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/btf.2005.0014

Sánchez, F., Díaz, A. and Formisano, M., (2003). “Conflict, violence and criminal activity in Colombia: a spatial analysis.” Economies Files No. 219. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.394380

Sánchez, F. and Nuñez, J. (2001). Determinants of violent crime in a highly violent country: The Colombian Case. Cede- University of los Andes.

Shichor, D., Decker, D. and O'Brien, R. (1979). “Population density and criminal victimization. Some Unexpected Findings in Central Cities.” Criminology, 17, 184-193. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-9125.1979.tb01285.x

Solimano, A., (2004). Political violence and economic development in Latin America: issues and evidence. Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean Economic Development Division.

Schelling, T. (1960). The Strategy of Conflict. Harvard U Press.

Scheper-Hughes, N. and Bourgois, P. (2004). Violence in war and peace. Volume 5 of Blackwell readers in anthropology.

Soares, R. and Naritomi, J. (2007). Understanding High Crime Rates in Latin America: The Role of Social and Policy Factors. The conference: Confronting Crime and Violence in Latin America: Crafting a Public Policy Agenda, organized by the Instituto Fernando Henrique Cardoso (IFHC) at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University.

Soriano, A. (2000). Colombia Essays on Conflict, Peace, and Development. The World Bank Washington, D.C.

Tejerina, B. (1991). “Sociology theories of conflict.” Spain Journal of Sociology Researches, 55, 47-63.

Wood, J. (2004). Violence and crime in nineteenth-century England: the shadow of our refinement. Volume 1 of Routledge studies in modern British history. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9780203391181-1

Wooldridge, J. (2010). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

World Bank (WB) (2003). Breaking the Conflict Trap Civil War and Development Policy. A World Bank and Oxford University Press Policy Research Report.

World Bank (WB) (2007). Crime, Violence, and Development: Trends, Costs, and Policy Options in the Caribbean. A Joint Report by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime and the Latin America and the Caribbean Region of the World Bank. Report No. 37820.

World Health Organization (WHO) (2004). The Economic Dimensions of Interpersonal Violence. Department of Injuries and Violence Prevention.

Descargas

Publicado

2012-11-01

Cómo citar

Cotte Poveda, A. (2012). Empirical research on the relationship between violence and social development in Colombia. Ensayos Revista De Economía, 31(2), 37–56. https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos31.2-2

Número

Sección

Artículos: Convocatoria Regular