Modeling Business Growth and Profitability in the Coahuila Industry
Modelando crecimiento y rentabilidad empresarial de la industria de Coahuila
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos42.1-1Keywords:
Profitability, Business Growth, Manufacturing, Dynamic Panel DataAbstract
The manufacturing business growth-profitability relationship is analyzed for Coahuila, Mexico, during 1993-2018. Business activity is one of the engines generating employment usually subordinate to the level of profitability. Entrepreneurial theories disagree on impact and causality: business growth promotes profitability (classical view), profitability generates business growth (evolutionary), or domains a negative link (managerial hypothesis) that can be bidirectional. Nonlinear dynamic panel methods and piecewise regressions estimate positive impacts ranging from profitability to business growth, but they diminish after to reach a threshold value. The analysis is delimited by the sectoral aggregation, but findings are intuitive and contribute to the understanding of the business dynamic. It is concluded that opportunities of gains create scale economies that stimulate the expansion of the productive plant, however, macroeconomic conditions are required to encourage the private investment and to reduce the market restrictions.
Downloads
References
Abedin, Md. T. (2017). “Impact of Banking Sector Efficiency and Profitability on Bangladesh Economy”, Economics Bulletin, 37(3): 1708-1719.
Arellano, M. y Bond, S. (1998). “Dynamic Panel Data Estimation Using DPD98 for Gauss: A Guide for Users”, Madrid, December 1998.
Bartoloni, E., Baussola, M. y Bagnato, L. (2020). “Waiting for Godot? Success or Failure of Firms’ Growth in a Panel of Italian Manufacturing Firms”, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 55: 259-275. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2020.08.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2020.08.007
Blundell, R. y Bond, S. (1998). “Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models”, Journal of Econometrics, 87: 115-143. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-4076(98)00009-8 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8
Bojnec, Š. and Fertő, I. (2020). “Testing the Validity of Gibrat's Law for Slovenian Farms: Cross-Sectional Dependence and Unit Root Tests”, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 33(1): 1280-1293. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1722722 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2020.1722722
Chang, M. C., Nieh, C.-C. y Peng, Y.-H. (2011). “Are Bigger Banks More Profitable than Smaller Banks?”, Journal of Applied Finance y Banking, 1(3): 59-71.
Coad, A. (2007). “Testing the Principle of "Growth of the Fitter": The Relationship between Profits and Firm Growth”, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 18: 371-386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2007.05.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2007.05.001
Coad, A. Cowling, M. y Siepel, J. (2017). “Growth Processes of High-Growth Firms as Four-Dimensional Chicken and Egg”, Industrial and Corporate Change, 26: 537-554. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtw040 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtw040
Coad, A., Frankish, J. S., Roberts, R. G. y Storey, D. J. (2015). “Are Firms Growth Paths Random? A Reply to “Firm Growth and the Illusion of Randomness””, Journal of Business Venturing Insights, 3 (2015) 5-8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2014.11.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2014.11.001
Çoban, S. (2014). “The Interaction between Firm Growth and Profitability: Evidence from Turkish (listed) Manufacturing Firms”, Bilgi Ekonomisi Ve Yönetimi Dergisi, 4: 73-82.
Cordoba, J. C. (2008). “A Generalized Gibrat’s Law”, International Economics Review, 49(4): 1463–1468. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2008.00518.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2008.00518.x
Cowling, M. (2004). “The Growth-Profit Nexus”, Small Business Economics, 22: 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/B:SBEJ.0000011568.42714.c9
Davidsson, P., Steffens, P. y Fitzsimmons, J. (2009). “Growing Profitable or Growing from Profits: Putting the Horse in Front of the Cart?”, Journal of Business Venturing, 24: 388-406. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2008.04.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusvent.2008.04.003
Daza Izquierdo, J. (2015). “Análisis de la interrelación crecimiento-rentabilidad en Brasil”, Tourism & Management Studies, 11: 182-188. https://doi.org/10.18089/tms.2015.11222 DOI: https://doi.org/10.18089/tms.2015.11222
Daza Izquierdo, J. (2016). “Crecimiento y rentabilidad empresarial en el sector industrial brasileño”, Contaduría y Administración, 61: 265-282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2015.12.001 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cya.2015.12.001
Delmar, F., McKelvie, A. y Wennberg, K. (2013). “Untangling the Relationships among Growth, Profitability and Survival in New Firms”, Technovation, 33: 276-291. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2013.02.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.technovation.2013.02.003
Derbyshire, J. y Garnsey, E. (2014). “Firm Growth and the Illusion of Randomness”, Journal of Business Venturing Insights, 1-2: 8–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2014.09.003 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2014.09.003
Distante, R., Petrella, I. y Santoro, E. (2018). “Gibrat’s Law and Quantile Regressions: An Application to Firm Growth”, Economics Letters, 164: 5-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2017.12.028 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2017.12.028
Faizulayev, A., Bektas, E. e Ismail, A. G. (2020). “Profitability and Persistency in the Service Industry: The Case of QISMUT+3”, The Service Industries Journal, 40(3-4): 290-314. https://doi.org/10.1080/02642069.2018.1461210 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02642069.2018.1461210
Federico, J. y Capelleras, J. L. (2015). “The Heterogeneous Dynamics between Growth and Profits: The Case of Young Firms”, Small Business Economics, 44: 231-253. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-014-9598-9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-014-9598-9
Fiala, R. y Hedija, V. (2019). “Testing the Validity of Gibrat's Law in the Context of Profitability Performance”, Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 32(1): 2850-2863. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1655656 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2019.1655656
Fuertes-Callén, Y. y Cuellar-Fernández, B. (2019). “Inter-Relationship between Firm Growth and Profitability in a Context of Economic Crisis”, Journal of Business Economics and Management, 20: 86-106. https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.6928 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/jbem.2019.6928
Garza-Garcia, J. G. (2012). “Does Market Power Influence Bank Profits in Mexico? A Study on Market Power and Efficiency”, Applied Financial Economics, 22: 21-32. https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2011.595681 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2011.595681
German-Soto, V. y Sánchez-Hiza, Ó. (2021). “The Profitability-Growth Nexus in the Mexican Manufacturing Industry”, Social Sciences and Humanities Open, 4: article 100220. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2021.100220 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssaho.2021.100220
Goddard, J., Molyneux, P. y Wilson, J. (2004). “Dynamics of Growth and Profitability in Banking”, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 36: 1069-1091. https://doi.org/10.1353/mcb.2005.0015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/mcb.2005.0015
Goddard, J., Tavakoli, M., y Wilson, J. O. (2009). “Sources of Variation in Firm Profitability and Growth”, Journal of Business Research, 62(4): 495-508. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2007.10.007 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2007.10.007
Greene, W. H. (2008). Econometric Analysis, New Jersey, Pearson Prentice-Hall.
Guo, Aijun; Wei, Haiqi; Zhong, Fanglei; Liu, Shuangshuang and Huang, Chunlin (2020). “Enterprise Sustainability: Economic Policy Uncertainty, Enterprise Investment, and Profitability”, Sustainability, 12: article 3735. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093735 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093735
Hawawini, G., Subramanian, V. y Verdin, P. (2003). Is Performance Driven by Industry- or Firm-Specific Factors? A New Look at the Evidence. Strategic Management Journal, 24, 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.278 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.278
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) (2020). Censo de Población, 2020, INEGI, Aguascalientes.
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía (INEGI) (varios años). Censos Económicos, INEGI, Aguascalientes.
Jang, S. y Park, K. (2011). “Inter-Relationship between Firm Growth and Profitability”, International Journal of Hospitality Management, 30: 1027-1035. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2011.03.009 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2011.03.009
Lee, S. (2014). “The Relationship between Growth and Profit: Evidence from Firm-Level Panel Data”, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 28: 1-11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2013.08.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2013.08.002
Mundt, P.; Milakovic, M. y Alfarano, S. (2014). “Gibrat’s Law Redux: Think Profitability Instead of Growth”, BERG Working Paper Series No. 92, January 2014. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtv022 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtv022
Myers, S. y Majiluf, N. (1984). “Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms have Information that Investors”, Journal of Financial Economics, 13: 187-221. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405x(84)90023-0 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0
Nahm, D. y Vu, H. (2013). “Profit Efficiency and Productivity of Vietnamese Banks: A New Index Approach”, Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, 3(1): 45-65.
Nicholson, W. y Snyder, C. M. (2017). Microeconomic Theory: Basic Principles and Extensions, Upper Saddle River, Cengage Learning.
Öhman, P. y Yazdanfar, D. (2018). “Organizational-Level Profitability Determinants in Commercial Banks: Swedish Evidence”, Journal of Economic Studies, 45(6): 1175-1191. https://doi.org/10.1108/jes-07-2017-0182 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-07-2017-0182
Opstad, L.; Idsø, J. y Valenta, R. (2022). “The Dynamics of the Profitability and Growth of Restaurants; the Case of Norway”, Economies, 10: 53. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10020053 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10020053
Peneder, M. R. (2008). “Firm Entry and Turnover: The Nexus with Profitability and Growth”, Small Business Economics, 30: 327-344. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-007-9048-z DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11187-007-9048-z
Raj-Reichert, G. (2020). “Global Value Chains, Contract Manufacturers, and the Middle-Income Trap: The Electronics Industry in Malaysia”, The Journal of Development Studies, 56(4): 698-716. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2019.1595599 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2019.1595599
Roper, S. (1999). “Modelling Small Business Growth and Profitability”, Small Business Economics, 13: 235-252. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008104624560 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008104624560
Teece, D. y Pisano, G. (1994). “The Dynamic Capabilities of Firm: An Introduction”, Industrial and Corporate Change, 3(3), 537-556. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/3.3.537-a DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/3.3.537-a
Teece, D., Pisano, G. y Shuen, A. (1997). “Dynamic Capabilities and Strategic Management”, Strategic Management Journal, 18(7): 509-533. https://doi.org/10.1002/(sici)1097-0266(199708)18:7<509::aid-smj882>3.0.co;2-z DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0266(199708)18:7<509::AID-SMJ882>3.0.CO;2-Z
Vorst, P. y Yohn, T. L. (2018). “Life Cycle Models and Forecasting Growth and Profitability”, The Accounting Review, 93(6): 357-381. https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-52091 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-52091
Yoo, S. y Kim, J. (2015). “The Dynamic Relationship between Growth and Profitability under Long-Term Recession: The Case of Korean Construction Companies”, Sustainability, 7, 15982-15998. https://doi.org/10.3390/su71215796. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su71215796
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Vicente Germán-Soto, Alejandro Marines López
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.