Country-Risk Impact on Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico

Impacto del riesgo-país en la inversión extranjera directa en México

Authors

  • Héctor Paulino Elizalde Guzmán COLEGIO DE POSTGRADUADOS
  • Miguel Angel Martinez Damian
  • Jose Jaime https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5525-8402
  • Martha Elva Ramirez Guzman

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos41.1-1

Keywords:

inversión extranjera directa, índice de riesgo-país, transferencia, relación inversa.

Abstract

A greater flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Mexico can serve as financing for the manufacture of goods and services that contribute to economic growth; however, investors face risks that can lead to low levels of profits or even losses. Through a transfer model, this document aims to reveal the relationship between the Country Risk Index (IRP) and FDI in Mexico, and thereby contribute to knowledge about the behavior of foreign capital. The results confirmed the inverse relationship between these variables; Likewise, the cross-correlation function indicates that the IRP has a lagged effect of four quarters on FDI. Therefore, if this country wants to position itself as a viable alternative for foreign capital and benefit from long-term investments, policies that place it as a low-risk economy should be implemented.

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Author Biography

Héctor Paulino Elizalde Guzmán, COLEGIO DE POSTGRADUADOS

Departamento de Socioeconomía, estadística e informática

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Published

2022-05-02

How to Cite

Elizalde Guzmán, H. P., Martinez Damian, M. A., Jose Jaime, & Ramirez Guzman, M. E. (2022). Country-Risk Impact on Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico: Impacto del riesgo-país en la inversión extranjera directa en México. Ensayos Revista De Economía, 41(1), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos41.1-1

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