Poverty dynamics in rural Mexico: What does the future hold?


  • Javier Parada Gómez Urquiza
  • Alejandro López Feldman



Palabras clave:

Mexico, Household Welfare Dynamics, Poverty Traps.


We use panel data from the 2002-2007 period to analyze poverty dynamics in rural Mexico. The poverty measures show almost three fifths of the surveyed households experienced poverty at least once, while one fifth were cataloged as chronically poor. Additionally, asset accumulation dynamics show that there is low asset mobility and that the level of welfare Mexican rural households are expected to reach in the long run would be above poverty, but still quite low (per capita income equal to 6.35 times the Mexican food poverty line).

JEL Classification: I32, O12.


Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.


Cargando métricas ...


Adato, M., Carter, M. R. and May, J. (2006). “Exploring poverty traps and social exclusion in South Africa using qualitative and quantitative data”. Journal of Development Studies, 42, 226-247. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380500405345

Azariadis, C. and Stachurski, J. (2004). Poverty traps. En Aghion, P. and Durlauf, S. (Eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth. Amsterdam: Elsevier.

Banerjee, A. and Newman, A. (1993). “Occupational choice and the process of development”. Journal of Political Economy, 101, 274-98. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/261876

Barrett, C., Marenya, P., Mcpeak, J., Minten, B., Murithi, F., Oluoch-Kosura, W., Place, F., Randrianarisoa, J., Rasambainarivo, J. and Wangila, J. (2006). “Welfare dynamics in rural Kenya and Madagascar”. Journal of Development Studies, 42, 248-277. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380500405394

Carter, M. and May, J. (1999). “Poverty, Livelihood and Class in Rural South Africa”. World Development, 27(1), 1-20. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(98)00129-6

Carter, M. and May, J. (2001). “One Kind of Freedom: Poverty Dynamics in Post-apartheid South Africa”. World Development, 29(12), 1987-2006. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(01)00089-4

Carter, M. and Barrett, C. (2006). “The economics of poverty traps and persistent poverty: an asset-based approach”. Journal of Development Studies, 42, 178-199. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00220380500405261

CONEVAL (2009). Mexican Social Development Policy Evaluation Council Report on Income Poverty in 2008. Consejo Nacional de Evaluación de la Política de Desarrollo Social. Mexico: Federal Government.

CONEVAL (2010). La pobreza por ingreso en México. Consejo Nacional de Evaluación de la Política de Desarrollo Social. Mexico: Federal Government.

Cortés, F., Hernández, D., Hernández-Laos, E., Székely, M. y Vera, H. (2003). “Evolución y características de la pobreza en México en la última década del siglo XX”. Economía Mexicana, 12(2), 295-325.

Filmer, D. and Pritchett, L. (2001). “Estimating Wealth Effects Without Expenditure Data Or Tears: An Application To Educational Enrollments In States Of India”. Demography, 38(1), 115-132. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/dem.2001.0003

Foster, J., Greer, J. and Thorbecke, E. (1984). “A Class of Decomposable Poverty Measures”. Econometrica, 52(3), 761-766. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913475

Galindo, C., Escajeda, C. and Galindo, O. (2009). “Poverty and Inequality in Mexico 2000- 2006”. Revista Mexicana de Economía Agrícola y de los Recursos Naturales, 2, 115-140. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21919/remef.v4i2.197

Galor, O. and Zeira, J. (1993). “Income distribution and macroeconomics”. Review of Economic Studies, 60(1), 35-52. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297811

Kolenikov, S. and Angeles, G. (2004). “The Use of Discrete Data in Principal Component Analysis With Applications to Socio-Economic Indices”. CPC/MEASURE Working paper No. 04-85.

Lybbert, T., Barrett, C., Desta, S. and Coppock, D. (2004). “Stochastic wealth dynamics and risk management among a poor population”. The Economic Journal, 114, 750-777. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2004.00242.x

Naschold, F. (2012). “The poor stay poor: Household asset poverty traps in rural semi-arid India”. World Development, 40(10), 2033-2043. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2012.05.006

Pagan, A. and Ullah, A. (1999). Nonparametric Econometrics. Cambridge, Inglaterra: Cambridge University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511612503

Ruppert, D., Wand, M. and Carroll, R. (2003). Semiparametric Regression. Cambridge, Inglaterra: Cambridge University Press. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511755453

Székely, M. (2005). “Pobreza y Desigualdad en México entre 1950 y el 2004”. El Trimestre Económico, 72(4), 913-931. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20430/ete.v72i288.566




Cómo citar

Gómez Urquiza, J. P., & López Feldman, A. (2013). Poverty dynamics in rural Mexico: What does the future hold?. Ensayos Revista De Economía, 32(2), 55–74. https://doi.org/10.29105/ensayos32.2-3



Artículos: Convocatoria Regular